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Tuesday, 20 December 2016

DOW: Next it's Down!

Patterns repeat. Share prices have hit a zenith and the next movement will be down.

Wednesday, 14 December 2016

ALIBABA to break out of down-swing

 This week ALIBABA must break through either the Resistance Line of the downswing or the Support Line of the uptrend. I guess the Support Line will hold and the next swing is upwards. It could be an upswing of 20%, if the green trend arrow is followed.

Thursday, 8 December 2016

EIRL ETF basket of Irish shares shaken by BREXIT

While many of the leading Irish companies in the EIRL basket have an international footprint, the upward slope of the ETF from 2012 to June 2016 (if we leave out the excessive exuberance of 2014) closely matches the growth of the Irish economy in that period.

Anxiety over the BREXIT referendum flattened the top of the chart in the months leading up to the referendum, and the shock of the result caused a severe slump in prices, which have been recovering since.

The Irish economy continues to grow strongly. Official estimates for the growth of the economy over the next five years at three per cent per annum, in line with with the projected growth in population, somewhat restrained because of fears of the effect of Great Britain leaving the EU, indicate that the tentative upward slope of the share prices will continue and we will soon see a break-out from the BREXIT inspired downtrend.